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Nov 7, 2012
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he was interviewed and said about rasmussen. he's lost a lot of credibility, as far as i'm concerned. he did a lot of surveys. a lot of those surveys were wrong. nate, my question to you, is there going to be a price to pay in reputation for a pollster like rasmussen? >> i think so. when you underestimate the strength of a candidate than doing one or two polls and being off by a few points. i think it's fine when it's three points but when you do 20 polls and all show obama doing worse by three. that's the case of rasmussen, who has an unorthodox methodological system. they don't sample cell phone voters. there's just -- there are too many layers of, you know, different areas that could have been causing the errors. for when the error comes in to say, well, that makes sense. maybe that's not and we should take as seriously in the future. >> unorthodox is as smackdown my friend nate will deliver. stay tuned for the next block as we had to see what s.e. did because she lost. now, just a week after superstorm sandy there's a nor'ea
he was interviewed and said about rasmussen. he's lost a lot of credibility, as far as i'm concerned. he did a lot of surveys. a lot of those surveys were wrong. nate, my question to you, is there going to be a price to pay in reputation for a pollster like rasmussen? >> i think so. when you underestimate the strength of a candidate than doing one or two polls and being off by a few points. i think it's fine when it's three points but when you do 20 polls and all show obama doing worse by...
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Nov 24, 2012
11/12
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so, let's bring in scott rasmussen, and rasmussen reports. he just won the election. >> he's gotten a bounce, 50% job approval on election day. up 4 points now. 95% of democrats think he's doing, and republican aren't impressed. >> 87% disapprove. it's more than just the job approval rating. right now 41% of voters tell us the country is headed in the right direction, about as high as it's been during president obama's time in office. >> you know, scott, there's a big debate on capitol hill and across america, some groups saying, look, what we really need to do is just cut spending. other people saying, no, no, no, we just need to hike taxes and you polled folks on that, what did you find. >> 68%, two out of three said we need a combination of tax hikes and spending cuts. two significant things here, first, 52% of republicans agree with that. so a majority of republicans are saying we may need to include tax revenue in this mix. the other thing, voters by a 2-1 margin say when the mix is put together, we want to see more spending cuts than ta
so, let's bring in scott rasmussen, and rasmussen reports. he just won the election. >> he's gotten a bounce, 50% job approval on election day. up 4 points now. 95% of democrats think he's doing, and republican aren't impressed. >> 87% disapprove. it's more than just the job approval rating. right now 41% of voters tell us the country is headed in the right direction, about as high as it's been during president obama's time in office. >> you know, scott, there's a big debate...
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the rasmussen reports daily tracking poll has the race at 48%. the abc ashington post tracking poll shows the governor taking a one point lead after trailing b one yesterday. those of the two most recent national polls. and while the polls are tight, they are not always accurate or indicative of the of come. either candidate could win this election by a sizable margin, if you considea sizable margin to be two or 3 percent, perhaps, regardless of what these polls are saying today. one group or demographic, like independent vters, could swing the election in the waning hours of the campaign. and what should worry the obama campaign with their race so tight that you can hear is quilt is not the unraving cover-up on been gauzy or a bust response to a major east coast hurricane. what should worry the obama campaign is that this race is all about the conomy, his record, and responsibility where the unemployment rate and in this economic recovery now stand. voters simply trust governor romney more on this most important issue. let's reveal -- that is re
the rasmussen reports daily tracking poll has the race at 48%. the abc ashington post tracking poll shows the governor taking a one point lead after trailing b one yesterday. those of the two most recent national polls. and while the polls are tight, they are not always accurate or indicative of the of come. either candidate could win this election by a sizable margin, if you considea sizable margin to be two or 3 percent, perhaps, regardless of what these polls are saying today. one group or...
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Nov 6, 2012
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i respect scott rasmussen on this. but oddly enough in a too close to call, i put my money on romney. you had another piece obviously you said look in the wake of the storm, hurricane sandy, maybe some folks will be looking for the status quo, then you said, something to the effect or maybe they will look at the president and realize he couldn't stop the oceans' rise. >> i know that it was -- it's bad to say if something is very damaging as what we are calling cold katrina up in new york. it feels unfortunate to look at tonight a political sense. but we know politics is part of life. the storm slowed up the romney campaign in a way by taking all the attention onto the president and going to the storm. and it sort of slowed up romney. but at the end of the day i think it's a wash for president obama. i don't think it does anything for him. then the situation in new york is turning grimmer. but, megyn, i think overall there has been a grimness and joylessness and profound negativity to the president's campaign. i don't t
i respect scott rasmussen on this. but oddly enough in a too close to call, i put my money on romney. you had another piece obviously you said look in the wake of the storm, hurricane sandy, maybe some folks will be looking for the status quo, then you said, something to the effect or maybe they will look at the president and realize he couldn't stop the oceans' rise. >> i know that it was -- it's bad to say if something is very damaging as what we are calling cold katrina up in new york....
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Nov 21, 2012
11/12
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eric rasmussen is live at the port. temperaturers sure boiled over. >> reporter: a lot of people fired from the people picketing to the drivers. there's a deal to go back to the bargaining table. the picket line is breaking up. a shuttle bus has arrived to take some of the workers back over to the airport where they're supposed to be having a party. in the last 30 minutes both sides with the help of the mayor of oakland came together, decided to go back to the bargaining table. operation could resume as early as 7:00. this comes after some truckers say this shut down of the port cost them hundreds of dollars today. frustrated drivers all laid on their horns trying to clear a picket line of union workers determined to shut down the port of oakland. a driver told us he was trying to get home to a sick wife. >> i can't go in the parking lot. >> reporter: you're saying this is different than trying to deliver something? >> i'm not delivering nothing. i'm going to park my truck until it's over with. >> unfortunately truckers
eric rasmussen is live at the port. temperaturers sure boiled over. >> reporter: a lot of people fired from the people picketing to the drivers. there's a deal to go back to the bargaining table. the picket line is breaking up. a shuttle bus has arrived to take some of the workers back over to the airport where they're supposed to be having a party. in the last 30 minutes both sides with the help of the mayor of oakland came together, decided to go back to the bargaining table. operation...
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Nov 6, 2012
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rasmussen says he has no idea and it pains him to say that. megyn: ask a different person we'll get a different answer. tonight woeulee know. you know how it works at fox. we'll have a meeting, the exit poll people, the decision desk will tell us how it's looking so far. we can't share all that we know with the slewers when we go on the air at 6:00pm for special coverage. we don't share that information until the polls close, 7, 7:30 and so on. we'll know a lot when the broadcast begins at 6:00pm eastern. and virginia is the first state to close, the first big swing state if that is decided significantly one way or the other, but especially if it goes blue. bill: it will be a good night for one man or the other. megyn: if it goes blue it will be very hard for romney to make it. if it goes reddit will tell us something about the election threat. bill: watch 7:30, that's when chicago closes. megyn: what is this kaj a hoag georgia county. why does anybody care? people in new york don't care. bill: i will tell you later. check out "america live" 1
rasmussen says he has no idea and it pains him to say that. megyn: ask a different person we'll get a different answer. tonight woeulee know. you know how it works at fox. we'll have a meeting, the exit poll people, the decision desk will tell us how it's looking so far. we can't share all that we know with the slewers when we go on the air at 6:00pm for special coverage. we don't share that information until the polls close, 7, 7:30 and so on. we'll know a lot when the broadcast begins at...
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Nov 7, 2012
11/12
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rasmussen said we were almost always ahead. we have too? shatter that. and finally we've got to form the operative class of the republican party. we've had two presidential elections now that were strategic train wrecks. we've lost the ability to+ know how to appeal beyond our base mechanically. it's time for a shakeup. we used to be better than the democrats. they're now better than us. just like this israeli army it's time for brutal honesty inside our party. >> you've just given us a nice conversation to kick off. mr. murphy i will talk to you down the road. hello, panel. sara, how about that brutal honesty about the operative class? well, you at least get to say hey i was on you're'04. >> i was on '04. >> how right was he? i go back to the same question. who lost this election mitt romney or the republican party? >> he's right. they're interlinked. but, you know mitt romney in many ways was a bridge candidate to a changing republican party. you look at the deep bench rubio, tedcruz susana martinez. it feels really dark today, but there is a bright si
rasmussen said we were almost always ahead. we have too? shatter that. and finally we've got to form the operative class of the republican party. we've had two presidential elections now that were strategic train wrecks. we've lost the ability to+ know how to appeal beyond our base mechanically. it's time for a shakeup. we used to be better than the democrats. they're now better than us. just like this israeli army it's time for brutal honesty inside our party. >> you've just given us a...
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Nov 6, 2012
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remember some of these averages include polls from biased sources, rasmussen and public policy polling but there is nobody i'd rather to speak to than the one woman who can make sense of all of this an tell us how it's going to play out tomorrow lynn la lake, penalty of the democratic consulting firm lake research partners. she joins us from washington d.c. linda, it is like christmas eve for political junkies. >> it's great to be here. you're right, it is christmas eve for those pollsters. >> it is so fun. how do you feel about tomorrow? >> i feel cautiously optimistic, but i think you had the most important story. we cannot let this election be stolen by people throwing voters away and throwing voters out. it's an outrage what's going on in states like florida and ohio. >> it is, and it's a marginal amount. if ohio is insisting on 300,000 people using provisional ballots and setting you will hurdles all of that makes a difference. what early results might predict who wins, what are you going to be watching? >> so the first state i'm going to be watching is virginia, which closes at 7
remember some of these averages include polls from biased sources, rasmussen and public policy polling but there is nobody i'd rather to speak to than the one woman who can make sense of all of this an tell us how it's going to play out tomorrow lynn la lake, penalty of the democratic consulting firm lake research partners. she joins us from washington d.c. linda, it is like christmas eve for political junkies. >> it's great to be here. you're right, it is christmas eve for those...
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Nov 5, 2012
11/12
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we're looking at rasmussen and that is within the margin of error. even the wall street journal will be nbc news poll. is there a big collective question mark tonight? >> there is. most interesting to me, tom, is if you speak to the insiders and i know you do, ones from both sides believe they're going to genuinely win this. both sides seem to think we have a shot in ohio. obviously, republicans don't believe that is they can win without ohio and they handle they're going to win this tomorrow. if we're that close, we're in for days ahead. once you're past pennsylvania, northern virginia, it's northern virginia going for romney, well, you know, there is a chance this could be a very long night and if ohio goes for romney, it could be a long day. >> they talk about the october surprises and clearly, no one was expecting hurricane sandy and going to be where it was. where do you factor hurricane sandy in this race now? was this the october surprise we look out for and did it help the president? >> if they do lose, sounds like if a lot of them are going
we're looking at rasmussen and that is within the margin of error. even the wall street journal will be nbc news poll. is there a big collective question mark tonight? >> there is. most interesting to me, tom, is if you speak to the insiders and i know you do, ones from both sides believe they're going to genuinely win this. both sides seem to think we have a shot in ohio. obviously, republicans don't believe that is they can win without ohio and they handle they're going to win this...
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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rasmussen reports governor romney leading 50-47%. so let's listen in, they're in colorado, to governor mitt romney and his wife, ann romney. [ cheers and applause ] >> well, today we enter the final weekend of the campaign. all right? [ cheers and applause ] and you got it right, that the obama rallies rallies are captag four more years. you're chanting three more days. we're going to have to change that chant tomorrow. we'll come up with something, i'm sure. we are so grateful to you and to the people across this country for all that you've given to the campaign of yourselves, of your time, your talent, your energy, your money, and this is not just about paul ryan and me and it's really about america and the future we leave our children. [ cheers and applause ] we thank you and we ask you to stay with it all the way to victory on tuesday night. all right? [ cheers and applause ] four years ago, candidate obama promised to do so much for us, but he's fallen so very short. he promised to be a post-partisan president. remember that? bu
rasmussen reports governor romney leading 50-47%. so let's listen in, they're in colorado, to governor mitt romney and his wife, ann romney. [ cheers and applause ] >> well, today we enter the final weekend of the campaign. all right? [ cheers and applause ] and you got it right, that the obama rallies rallies are captag four more years. you're chanting three more days. we're going to have to change that chant tomorrow. we'll come up with something, i'm sure. we are so grateful to you and...
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start with the last rasmussen told the released yesterday. governor romney, president obama neck in neck, 49 for romney, 48 for obama. last night when all the numbers were in the let durrell college showed a much bigger gap. the president took 3 and 3, ronny 206 with florida and counted. karl rove, former adviser to george w. bush, was all over the place on television the last three years i do believe. so tell me. >> almost as often as stuart varney. stuart: what went wrong? >> a lot of these raises were tight and fell to obama. one is tactical. this is mostly a tactical election. they had very good ground game and played defensive ball the entire time but essentially they got most of the people who voted for him last time around. he is the first president to win a second term with a smaller percentage of the vote that he won in his first election. only two stake in the union, hawaii and mississippi where he increased his vote and did so at less than 1/4%. stuart: i find it hard to swallow that a president is reelected who has a failed record
start with the last rasmussen told the released yesterday. governor romney, president obama neck in neck, 49 for romney, 48 for obama. last night when all the numbers were in the let durrell college showed a much bigger gap. the president took 3 and 3, ronny 206 with florida and counted. karl rove, former adviser to george w. bush, was all over the place on television the last three years i do believe. so tell me. >> almost as often as stuart varney. stuart: what went wrong? >> a...
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Nov 2, 2012
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he write ts now watch in frustration, only a single romney-leading poll probably from rasmussen. apparently the pollsters are all effeminate pollsters too. please stop letting facts get in the way of the gop narrative. >> for a numbers guy he has an awesome sense of humor. >> stephanie: yeah. [♪ "world news tonight" theme ♪] >> stephanie: after brutal polling day, romney team reassures they are going to win. [ laughter ] >> stephanie: not included on their list of romney advantages is being ahead in the polls. >> yeah. >> stephanie: romney's pollster said obama has are political environment problem, he has an intensity problem, image problem, and a ballot problem, and it will all add up to a chal edging tuesday next week. >> what is he talking about exactly. >> obama has an image problem? this from the romney camp. >> stephanie: right. new surveys in which obama held a solid lead in ohio eight point lead in wisconsin, but romney aids insisted things are on the right track. >> of course she didn't. of course we are. of course we are on the right wrack. >> stephanie: we feel we
he write ts now watch in frustration, only a single romney-leading poll probably from rasmussen. apparently the pollsters are all effeminate pollsters too. please stop letting facts get in the way of the gop narrative. >> for a numbers guy he has an awesome sense of humor. >> stephanie: yeah. [♪ "world news tonight" theme ♪] >> stephanie: after brutal polling day, romney team reassures they are going to win. [ laughter ] >> stephanie: not included on their...
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there has been only one poll, rasmussen poll that showed romney leading there and others show him behind? >> i'm not sure how confident i am. when you are making predictions in close states. you can't be confident to be correct. i said in my article i'm fully i may be wrong in some states. that is where enthusiasm can make a difference. we know that rom is not well as running as well with white non-college voters. but there is something we saw on fox news as election returns were coming in and that is increased turnout in small town, rural voters, evangelical voters that won the state for george w. bush even though john kerry got his margins that he wanted out of the big central cities and out of the university and college towns. i think that is factor that hasn't been studied much by reporters but a lot of people have been active on the ground and the crowd of the fire marshal estimated 30,000 on friday was a good indicator of strong enthusiasm. barack obama drew fewer people in ohio than john mccain drew four years ago. >> megyn: charlie cook says its tough road for romney on electoral
there has been only one poll, rasmussen poll that showed romney leading there and others show him behind? >> i'm not sure how confident i am. when you are making predictions in close states. you can't be confident to be correct. i said in my article i'm fully i may be wrong in some states. that is where enthusiasm can make a difference. we know that rom is not well as running as well with white non-college voters. but there is something we saw on fox news as election returns were coming...
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Nov 9, 2012
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initially he relied on rasmussen's numbers which were equally bad. i love this in september, texas governor rick perry praised the site's unskewed information. but he said i congratulate nate silver for getting 50 of 50. >> uh-huh. >> stephanie: he is going to keep the unskewed site up for archiving purposes. [♪ magic wand ♪] >> stephanie: it will be next to your karl rove melting down on fox news. >> karl rove making megyn kelly walk down to the election center. >> if he is bush's brain, we just saw an yourism. he is arguing somewhere that darth vader couldn't possibly be his father. >> stephanie: yeah. speaking of that my new best friend sarah jessica parker -- >> yes. >> stephanie: she is a big fan. hi sarah! [♪ "world news tonight" theme ♪] >> stephanie: but they had that dinner at her house, and the back room number crunchers noticed that george clooney has almost gravitational pull on women. but even this stuff they went by the numbers but the math. the june 14th events was cohosted, and merl streep and arreit franklin donated as well.
initially he relied on rasmussen's numbers which were equally bad. i love this in september, texas governor rick perry praised the site's unskewed information. but he said i congratulate nate silver for getting 50 of 50. >> uh-huh. >> stephanie: he is going to keep the unskewed site up for archiving purposes. [♪ magic wand ♪] >> stephanie: it will be next to your karl rove melting down on fox news. >> karl rove making megyn kelly walk down to the election center....
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Nov 25, 2012
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rasmussen also added that people that are angry about immigration they aren't angry at the immigrants but angry at the federal government. finally do you think at this point people have come to expect the gridlock, that will continue? >> unfortunately yes, but there is political will to get this done. we have seen the power of the latino voters and it does rely on this congress. we don't have as many tea party members that were putting a block in place to this anymore. now, we have a makeup of a congress that knows there is an america behind this. >> we need the president to bring this comprehensive bill up and drive his party to take a stance on this issue. he didn't do it when he had full control of the house and senate. he could have done it in the first years. he chose not to. he is not up for reelection again. i hope she shows leadership this time. >> heather: thank you both for joining us. we appreciate it. >> gregg: an oklahoma teenager sentenced to serve time after a drunk driving accident killed one of his friends, but he won't be carrying out his sentence in prison. what the
rasmussen also added that people that are angry about immigration they aren't angry at the immigrants but angry at the federal government. finally do you think at this point people have come to expect the gridlock, that will continue? >> unfortunately yes, but there is political will to get this done. we have seen the power of the latino voters and it does rely on this congress. we don't have as many tea party members that were putting a block in place to this anymore. now, we have a...
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Nov 24, 2012
11/12
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the small plane went down at mory rasmussen field area. the pilot was the only person on board and his name hasn't been released. >>> arson has been ruled out in a power plant fire in orrville. the fire was put out yesterday at the plant earlier than expected. the damage is also less than firefighters originally thought. that power plant supplies electricity to pumps used by major water delivery systems. >>> elizabeth smart is writing a memoir about her kidnapping and rescue. back at age 14, she was snatched right out of her house by a homeless street preacher, sexually abused and nine months later found on a salt lake city street. her coauthor says smart is not shying away from the story. elizabeth smart, now 25 and married, also a senior at brigham young university. . >>> good morning to you. happy saturday. giving you a live look here at the rolling hills in lafayette, upper 40s to low 50s outside your door, mostly sunny skies, dry and mild weather in the forecast for your saturday, as well as your sunday. it's going to be a good lookin
the small plane went down at mory rasmussen field area. the pilot was the only person on board and his name hasn't been released. >>> arson has been ruled out in a power plant fire in orrville. the fire was put out yesterday at the plant earlier than expected. the damage is also less than firefighters originally thought. that power plant supplies electricity to pumps used by major water delivery systems. >>> elizabeth smart is writing a memoir about her kidnapping and rescue....
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Nov 6, 2012
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rasmussen he's at 48. that suggests to me somewhere between 51-49, which is i think where rove is, to 53-47, which is where i am. so at 53-47, romney will carry over 300 electoral votes. >> dee dee, i assume you quote different sources in your analysis of the way this is going? >> i don't spend a lot of time quoting dick morris and karl rove when i'm doing my analysis. i agree it's all going to come down to turnout and i think that the obama campaign from the very beginning of this race has made an argument that they were going to focus on winning in the battleground states. you have to keep in mind, almost half of voters have already gone to the polls in those states and the president is leading by a substantial margin. romney will have to make up a lot of ground if he's going to win in the key battleground states. i think that there's been a slight edge to the president's numbers in the last few days and i think when you add the turnout operation on top of that i think he has a slight edge. but it's been
rasmussen he's at 48. that suggests to me somewhere between 51-49, which is i think where rove is, to 53-47, which is where i am. so at 53-47, romney will carry over 300 electoral votes. >> dee dee, i assume you quote different sources in your analysis of the way this is going? >> i don't spend a lot of time quoting dick morris and karl rove when i'm doing my analysis. i agree it's all going to come down to turnout and i think that the obama campaign from the very beginning of this...
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. >> steve: speaking of the polls, i just saw twitter, scott rasmussen's final poll, national tracking poll, the president is -- mitt romney is ahead of the president by one. of course, today is the day that historically benefits republicans. this is a day republicans go out. not only do they go out to vote, but they are so motivated because so many people have told me, i'm going to vote because i have got to save america. i've heard people say that. >> i think that's right. i think a lot of people vote because we don't like the direction the country is going in. 60% of the country doesn't. number two, i think back to the media point, i think a lot of people are just so tired of media figures, probably me included, telling them how it vote. it's like look, i want my say. this is my country, too. let me cast the ballot for whomever i think will do the best job for me, my family, and the country overall. i think people are tired of being dictated to by the american media. i think in the end, we'll find out which pollster was correct, whether it's rasmussen, we'll see which polls were mor
. >> steve: speaking of the polls, i just saw twitter, scott rasmussen's final poll, national tracking poll, the president is -- mitt romney is ahead of the president by one. of course, today is the day that historically benefits republicans. this is a day republicans go out. not only do they go out to vote, but they are so motivated because so many people have told me, i'm going to vote because i have got to save america. i've heard people say that. >> i think that's right. i think...
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Nov 7, 2012
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. >> bill: no, and by wait, yeah, he certainly is a hell of a lot more accurate than gallop or rasmussen. >> bill: go ahead. >> caller: i have a question for you, with the passing of the marijuana laws, and the gay rights for gays to get married and our openly gay senator that's wonderful, do you think we're seeing a paradigm shift for a more progressive way of thinking? >> bill: i would hope so, there's one element of the american people that maybe don't realize that yet and those are the tea partyers, and those are the people who control the republican party today not all republicans, but i think that's a big message of last night's election derrick, and others, is that president obama and the democratic party really do represent america in the 21st 21st century, and the republican party today at best, i think represents an all white conservative america of the maybe 19th century. chris van hollen, coming up next. >> announcer: this is the "bill press show." [ ♪ theme ♪ ] i.q. will go way up. how are you ever going to solve the problem if you don't look at all of the pieces? >>tv a
. >> bill: no, and by wait, yeah, he certainly is a hell of a lot more accurate than gallop or rasmussen. >> bill: go ahead. >> caller: i have a question for you, with the passing of the marijuana laws, and the gay rights for gays to get married and our openly gay senator that's wonderful, do you think we're seeing a paradigm shift for a more progressive way of thinking? >> bill: i would hope so, there's one element of the american people that maybe don't realize that...
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gallup, rasmussen, abc, washington post, pew all have the race moving three to four points in his direction. he was doing well in the electoral college. i think democrats are confident. turn out has been up today. feel like a lot of folks are voting which is good for the democrats, there's been a lot of early votes. we go into election day feeling good. jon: wait a minute i thought that traditionally republicans tend to turn out in bigger numbers on election day. matt, what about that, if turn out is big today is that good for democrats or republicans. >> i think you'll see a big get out the vote effort from republicans. i think we'll have great numbers. as a matter of fact even on the early vote, jon which democrats have tend towed dominate this republican team has really done a much better job having the democratic advantage in states like ohio. so i think what we're going to see today is a great republican turn out. i think we can make it simple for your viewers. there's been a lot of talk about the polls and the numbers and the demographics and the samples. it's going to come down to oh
gallup, rasmussen, abc, washington post, pew all have the race moving three to four points in his direction. he was doing well in the electoral college. i think democrats are confident. turn out has been up today. feel like a lot of folks are voting which is good for the democrats, there's been a lot of early votes. we go into election day feeling good. jon: wait a minute i thought that traditionally republicans tend to turn out in bigger numbers on election day. matt, what about that, if turn...
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Nov 6, 2012
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if you look at gallup, rasmussen, they do a monthly review of all their respondents, they don't fiddle around with assumptions, and they found the republicans are likely to have a one-point advantage so i think the consensus polls are off. i base my calls on the numbers and that's what the numbers are telling me. >> larry, because you just connected some stuff for me that i want you to respond to now. the 44-year number, that was virginia, too, president obama, the first guy to carry virginia as a democrat in 44 years. bush won by eight points both times in virginia. these polls still have the president up three-tenths of a percent, the rcp average in virginia president obama up three-tenths of a year. 2004 bush wins by eight points, what changed in virginia demographically to make it so different than it's been for the past 50 years, and what you would say is in those polls that give you the 0.3 advantage, they are mistaken in party affiliate and what they're looking, is that right? is that what you're saying? >> yes, what pollsters, you know, back when you and i were young, joe, we u
if you look at gallup, rasmussen, they do a monthly review of all their respondents, they don't fiddle around with assumptions, and they found the republicans are likely to have a one-point advantage so i think the consensus polls are off. i base my calls on the numbers and that's what the numbers are telling me. >> larry, because you just connected some stuff for me that i want you to respond to now. the 44-year number, that was virginia, too, president obama, the first guy to carry...
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Nov 6, 2012
11/12
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bill: what do you account -- how do you account for the fact that even as of yesterday, gallup and rasmussen had the national poll tied even even. even romney ahead in one of them. >> gallup had plus one -- gallup called it a tie but they had romney up plus one but remember what they had for weeks during october, romney was up 4-6 points which essentially produces a landslide in the electoral college. i hope people are going to remember what gallup did. this is becoming an every four-year circus and a joke. >> bill: yes. thank you. >> gallup has serious problems! and they don't seem serious about correcting them! >> bill: well and the media doesn't seem serious about ignoring them. >> it is the gold standard. the name gallup, it is the gold standard. but look, if they had stuck with the four to six this would have been their second 1948. >> bill: wow. oh really. that bad. >> absolutely. absolutely. >> bill: you know, across the board, i mean i was looking this morning, most -- i recall it reputable people have -- in their prediction have obama up in the electoral college. do you think the po
bill: what do you account -- how do you account for the fact that even as of yesterday, gallup and rasmussen had the national poll tied even even. even romney ahead in one of them. >> gallup had plus one -- gallup called it a tie but they had romney up plus one but remember what they had for weeks during october, romney was up 4-6 points which essentially produces a landslide in the electoral college. i hope people are going to remember what gallup did. this is becoming an every four-year...
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Nov 5, 2012
11/12
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obama's even in rasmussen showed a 5-point net boost. most recent poll on saturday showed 77% positive approval rating to the president's performance in the hurricane. and i think -- chris christie was the october surprise i think. >> the storm certainly was. there was a -- somebody came in -- i think it was haley barbour and a couple of other people on fox news and other places saying that the storm was the october surprise and it stopped the momentum. it wasn't the storm that stopped his momentum. it was the fact that people saw what real governing actually looks like when all of the -- >> stephanie: could ruin his whole closing argument about bipartisanship. perry mason in his final -- >> it was absurd. they were hoping to skate in on benghazi which which is a farce. and that was going to be enough for them. and he was still -- still no taxes. still no specifics to his plan. still -- nobody knows what elements of the tax code he's going to modify or cut. hasn't said any of that stuff. they were hoping to diverge the voters from -- i h
obama's even in rasmussen showed a 5-point net boost. most recent poll on saturday showed 77% positive approval rating to the president's performance in the hurricane. and i think -- chris christie was the october surprise i think. >> the storm certainly was. there was a -- somebody came in -- i think it was haley barbour and a couple of other people on fox news and other places saying that the storm was the october surprise and it stopped the momentum. it wasn't the storm that stopped...
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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i recently saw a rasmussen told that showed flake up a bit. host: if you had to boil down the messages from the candidates, what would it be? flake, books will remember him as a congressional reformer. he crusaded against your marks. people remember him offering amendments late at night on the house floor. he is kind of focus on a financial and economic message, restoring fiscal sanity, avoiding the fiscal cliff. dr. carmona was a registered independent for years. he was an independent in the bush administration. he switched to run as a democrat. he has been pushing himself as nonpartisan. host: what has been the message of these gentleman toward each other? guest: it has gotten nasty. flake brought in carmona's former supervisor, criticizing him for issues with women, anger, and ethics. the democrats have been blistering flight. he is a staunch conservative. he would often be the only "no" vote on a spending bill. they are cherry picking votes, , saying, look what he voted against. host: what are you watching for? guest: a key will be whether
i recently saw a rasmussen told that showed flake up a bit. host: if you had to boil down the messages from the candidates, what would it be? flake, books will remember him as a congressional reformer. he crusaded against your marks. people remember him offering amendments late at night on the house floor. he is kind of focus on a financial and economic message, restoring fiscal sanity, avoiding the fiscal cliff. dr. carmona was a registered independent for years. he was an independent in the...
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Nov 7, 2012
11/12
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high-level operatives have already begun studying the rasmussen reports to make a change in the business model to address this problem for the next cycle. what they are saying to translate that -- a change in the business model. changing how they get their candidates. how the party on the national level acts with the state parties. too much is at stake to allow candidates to operate at that level. >> adding to what you were just saying, republicans plan to meet with outside groups right after the election. in an effort to try to get conservative groups to align with the establishment. to do a better job of picking a likable candidate in these races. 2010 and 2012 are very our business what you need a strong party structure to influence the outcomes. democrats have done a better job under chuck schumer and others who can help straight victory that they need in the primary to get the most electable candidates. we have seen that play out time and time again. >> now going to boston. we have politico standing by. tell us what you're learning? >> thank you. it has been an interesting night her
high-level operatives have already begun studying the rasmussen reports to make a change in the business model to address this problem for the next cycle. what they are saying to translate that -- a change in the business model. changing how they get their candidates. how the party on the national level acts with the state parties. too much is at stake to allow candidates to operate at that level. >> adding to what you were just saying, republicans plan to meet with outside groups right...